I
would betray my age if I told you that I don’t understand the hype surrounding
Bitcoin, Metaverse, Block Chain and those other darlings of the new cyberworld
out there.
Recently,
the Business Insider web site reported that a woman reported being groped by
a stranger while working as a beta
tester on a new meta platform. The platform creator defended itself by saying
the woman hadn’t enabled safety features. I guess nobody thought to mention
that it was a ‘virtual world’ and the groping was from one digital bit or byte
to another. Unless the woman felt it vicariously; it must have just touched her
fingertips. Great imagination on her part, though.
All
of this came to mind when I was purging my ‘blog idea’ folder and came across
an article in Futurist Magazine published in March-April of 2014. The article
was entitled: ‘The Information Revolution’s Broken Promises.’
Its
main premise was that many of the predictions, promises and visions for this
new ‘cyber’ world either didn’t happen or didn’t pan out as promised. Only
after the revolutionary euphoria began to fade along with our own critical
judgments did a more sober perspective start to emerge of this new information
revolution. Now fast forward some several years and I’m wondering what if
anything has changed.
Before
this latest convulsion of the Information Revolution, Alvin Toffler was warning
us about radical changes taking place in many aspects of our society. The
vocabulary has changed. The old players have either left, changed their persona
or been replaced by their juniors, but the hype remains the same.
For
example, is metaverse just another one of the Information’s Revolution’s broken
promises or are there real treasures (fortunes) to be found in today’s digital
landscape? Author Neal Stephenson is
credited with coining the term "metaverse" in his 1992
science fiction novel "Snow Crash," in which he envisioned lifelike
avatars who met in realistic 3D buildings and other virtual reality
environments.
Since then, various
developments have made mileposts on the way toward a real metaverse, an
online virtual world which incorporates augmented reality, virtual
reality, 3D holographic avatars, video and other means of communication. As the
metaverse expands, it will offer a hyper-real alternative world for
you to coexist in. If you’re of a mind to.
Inklings of the
metaverse already exist in online game universes such as Fortnite, Minecraft
and Roblox. And the companies behind those games have ambitions to be part of the evolution of the metaverse.
Bitcoins
have been described as a new kind of currency for the digital age. Now there
are a slew of similar trading icons in the digital playing field. Other icons
have appeared on scene and I must admit I don’t understand most of them. Block
Chain, NFT Collections, NFT sales of virtual land and Meta real estate are just
some of these new trading currencies. They have impacted online banking
services and transactions, the sports betting industry, and currency exchange
just to name a few.
Aside
from these esoteric and often times exotic enounces of internet 3, there have
been major advancements made in many areas of our lives and economy. Wind
farms, solar panels and now storage panels are all harnessing the natural
energy forces all around us. Solar is capturing more of the sun’s power to
electrify our homes and businesses. New batteries are storing that power for
future use….taking many households and businesses totally ‘off the grid.’
Tesla
and Rivian are gaining ground against the old gas-guzzling chariots of our
parents. Even the German ‘people’s car’ is no match for today’s electric
vehicles.
My
old area of interest, mass communications, is another example of the steady
advancements made in the way people connect with one another or share
information. From Guttenburg’s bible to the printing press to the telegraph to
radio and onward.
In
the beginning, the pony express carried our messages long distances. Then the
telegraph hobbled that effort. Radio beget Television which beget Cable which
beget Netflix and Amazon who together championed streaming services. Along the
way, reel-to-reel tape morphed into Beta and VHS video tapes which, in turn,
morphed into the Walkman, the iPod, iPad, iPhone, tablet and other personal
devices.
Of course,
along with those advancements come the camp followers and hucksters. Now (after
a quick review Business Insider) we’re back to being inundated with articles
like: ‘Seventh grader saves his allowance and invests in rental housing (or
Bitcoins or NFTs or the metaverse) to generate more income than his parents. If
he can do it, so can you.’ (Sign up here).
Instagram
has been accused of having an adverse effect on teenage mental health. Tik-Tok
isn’t far behind. In reaction, the Chinese government decided to limit teen-age
use of online activities to three hours a day. Down through the generations and
with each new decade, we’re told it’s a new world out there.
2008
was the culmination of years of fiddling around on Wall Street. We were told
back then that it was different this time. They said real estate never went
down. They weren’t making any more land. Equity in your home was meant to be
spent and not wasted just sitting in your portfolio. All the experts agreed
that ‘this time was different.’
Or
not.
I
understand the hype behind ‘it’s a whole new world out there.’ But I do believe
many of the basics still count for something. The trouble with touting the
basics is that they aren’t new or sexy or earth-shaking. The basics are not
prone to over-caffeinated hype and exaggeration. Thus, they’re not very
sellable.
In Norman
Lear’s book : ‘Even This I Get to Experience’ he talks about a conversation he
had with a Harvard professor who lamented the current narrow focus of the
younger generation. He called it ‘The most rapacious societal disease of our
time: short-term thinking.’ Lear went on to reflect on the professors comments.
The
professor explained: “There will be a time very shortly when young people-very
young people- will be looking into computer screens. They will be looking
directly into screens, not to the side, so there will be no peripheral vision;
they won’t be looking over the top, so they won’t see what’s ahead; they’ll be
staring straight ahead into those screens, blind to everything ahead and around
them.”
Money
managers and financial product traders will be selling, buying, and swapping
financial products around the world. With that narrow focus, like a horse with
blinders, they will have more control and hold more power in those split
seconds than we can today imagine. And all of it entirely focused on short-term
gains.”
Unfortunately,
many of today’s politicians and business leaders are following the same old
game plan. It’s sometimes hard to see past the hype and colorful façade to the
reality behind it. But a more proper perspective and long-term thinking is
critical to seeing a clearer path ahead.
What’s
old is new again and some things never change…for the good and the bad. So it’s
back to: Buyer beware…all over again.
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